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US Dollar Still the Weakest in the Bunch, Pound Tumbles After Disappointing CPI

19 July 2017 07:44 AM BDT
US Dollar Still the Weakest in the Bunch, Pound Tumbles After Disappointing CPI
EUR/USD

Forex News: Despite the overextended condition of price, the pair made another strong push yesterday, approaching 2016’s high at 1.1616. The German ZEW data came very close to forecast and the market remained mostly unaffected.

Technical Outlook

Most of yesterday’s climb was triggered by US Dollar weakness and the pair now seems headed for last year’s high at 1.1616. The Relative Strength Index has entered overbought territory on a four hour chart, so we expect to see retracements lower once the mentioned resistance is reached, or even before. To the downside the first potential support is located at 1.1490 – 1.1500 but if price climbs to 1.1616 it will not retrace so low probably.

Fundamental Outlook

The U.S. Building Permits will be released at 12:30 pm GMT and will be today’s only notable data. The indicator shows how many permits were issued for the construction of new residential buildings during the previous month and usually strengthens the US Dollar if it posts a higher than expected value, which for today is 1.20 Million.

 

GBP/USD

The Pound took a big blow from a weaker than expected Consumer Price Index, so the pair posted a huge drop after initially breaking 1.3100 resistance.

Technical Outlook

The pair was overextended even before the British CPI came out, so this is a classic case of fundamentals in agreement with the technical side, hence the strong drop. We expect the current move to reach the 50 period Exponential Moving Average but keep in mind that the US Dollar is still weak and is taking a beating from most of its counterparts so we cannot rule out a climb above 1.3030 and closer to 1.3100. First important level south is 1.3000 and the way price behaves here will reveal more about the future direction.

Fundamental Outlook

The economic calendar for the Pound lacks any important releases, so the technical aspect will be the deciding factor for price direction.

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