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Uptrends Still in Place but Overbought Levels Call for Pullbacks

1 August 2017 09:01 AM BDT
Uptrends Still in Place but Overbought Levels Call for Pullbacks
EUR/USD

Forex News: Most of yesterday’s trading session was slow and ranging, as it was somewhat anticipated; the European Consumer Price Index matched analysts’ predictions, so the impact was muted and volatility remained low at the time of release.

Technical Outlook

The pair came in close vicinity of 1.1713 and found new buyers there, so yesterday’s strongest move was bullish. In the first part of today’s session we expect to see an encounter with the resistance 1.1775 but if this level cannot be broken decisively, the sellers will probably take over and take the pair into 1.1713 and possibly into the 50 period Exponential Moving Average over the next days. Keep in mind that the pair is overbought on a Daily and even a Weekly chart and this suggests that a stronger pullback will soon follow.

Fundamental Outlook

The Euro has a non eventful day ahead and on the US Dollar side, the U.S. Manufacturing PMI will be the main event. This is a survey of purchasing managers from the Manufacturing sector that tries to gauge their opinions regarding business conditions and overall economic situation in the said sector. The time of release is 2:00 pm GMT, the forecast is 56.4 and a higher than anticipated number shows optimism, usually strengthening the US Dollar.

 

GBP/USD

The pair didn’t reach 1.3160 resistance yesterday and instead returned lower to test support where it bounced slightly higher. Overall the session was slow and without a clear bias.

Technical Outlook

We will probably see more of this ranging movement until 1.3100 or 1.3160 is broken decisively. For the moment we expect to see an encounter with 1.3160, considering the nice bounce at 1.3100 support, which indicates bullish pressure. If that level is broken, the next barrier is located at 1.3200 (psychological resistance), followed by 1.3250 (technical resistance).

Fundamental Outlook

The Pound will also be affected by manufacturing data today, in the form of the British Manufacturing PMI. Similar to the U.S. indicator with the same name, this one can strengthen the currency if the actual number comes above forecast, which for today is 54.4.

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