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Euro and Pound Break Key Resistance Levels Fuelled by Draghi and Carney Hawkish Comments

29 June 2017 07:51 AM BDT
Euro and Pound Break Key Resistance Levels Fuelled by Draghi and Carney Hawkish Comments
EUR/USD

Forex News: The pair dipped yesterday, as it was expected after a big climb but the Euro bulls quickly stepped in and erased the drop. ECB President Draghi made hawkish comments at the ECB Forum and this aided the climb.

Technical Outlook

The pair reached multi month highs, trading now above 1.1340 and heading towards 1.1400. The picture is very much bullish and we expect price to continue upwards until 1.1400 is reached but there we expect to see a pause or probably a move lower. The Relative Strength Index is deep in overbought territory and the pair is facing a strong resistance zone between 1.1400 and 1.1450.

Fundamental Outlook

At 12:00 pm GMT the Euro will be affected by the release of the German Preliminary Consumer Price Index. This is the main gauge of inflation for the German economy and usually has a high impact on the Euro; the forecast is a change of 0.0% from the previous 0.2% and higher numbers generate Euro strength under normal circumstances.

On the US Dollar side we have the Final version of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product, scheduled at 12:30 pm GMT and expected to show a 1.2% change, same as previous. This is the main gauge of overall economic performance but the Final version is the last one released and tends to have a diminished impact.

 

GBP/USD

The Pound had a tremendous day yesterday after BOE Governor Mark Carney said in a panel discussion that some stimulus removal may be necessary. The pair posted a huge climb and broke several resistance levels.

Technical Outlook

After a small bounce lower at 1.2850 resistance, price climbed, fuelled by hawkish comments made by the Bank of England Governor. The current strength is likely to extend into 1.2975 – 1.3000 but a retracement should follow pretty soon considering that huge moves like the one seen yesterday are usually followed by a pullback. The bias is definitely bullish but be wary of retracements.

Fundamental Outlook

The British Net Lending to Individuals comes out at 8:30 am GMT, showing changes in the total value of consumer credit. A higher value than the forecast 4.0 Billion is usually beneficial for the Sterling, but the impact is low to medium.

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